اخبار محلية Yemen’s punishment shakes southern Saudi Arabia: Have we entered the phase of comprehensive confrontation?

اليكم الان Yemen’s punishment shakes southern Saudi Arabia: Have we entered the phase of comprehensive confrontation? والان إلى التفاصيل من المصدر الخبر اليمني:

Ali Dhafer – Al-Khabar Al-Yemeni:It appears that matters are heading towards a new and dangerous phase of complexity and field escalation between Sana’a and Riyadh, amid increasing indicators that may push towards a comprehensive confrontation.This hypothesis emerged strongly following the unprecedented Saudi aggressive escalation in nearly five years against five Yemeni governorates earlier this week, and the wide-scale Yemeni military response it met, targeting the Saudi economic, military, and vital nerve in the south of the Kingdom. This places the two countries, and perhaps the region, on the threshold of a pivotal and decisive phase, unless urgent political variables emerge that guarantee the conditions for de-escalation and achieve the entitlements of peace.Comprehensive Saudi Escalation, and a Shocking Yemeni Response:The Saudi regime escalated its aggressive raids on Yemen in recent days intensively and in an unprecedented manner since 2022, launching more than 120 raids on various areas in the governorates of Al-Jawf, Marib, Hudaydah, Taiz, and Al-Bayda, according to what the spokesman for the Armed Forces, Brigadier General Yahya Saree, revealed.The “comprehensive” Saudi escalation was accompanied by crimes against civilians and civilian objects, the most prominent and most bloody and brutal of which was the Saudi aggression crime that claimed the lives of no less than 25 martyrs and wounded among the inmates of the Central Correctional Facility in the Al-Hazm district, the capital of Al-Jawf governorate, and their visitors, including women and children.In response to this escalation and as a practical translation of the threat of the Supreme Political Council and the Yemeni Armed Forces that “the crimes of the Saudi enemy will not pass without response and punishment,” the missile force and the drone air force carried out a “wide-scale combined qualitative military operation” that targeted a range of the most important strategic military, vital, and economic targets in the south of the Kingdom, and perhaps the most influential and painful to the Saudi military and economic nerve. It was carried out with dozens of ballistic missiles and drones, and focused on Aramco facilities in Najran, Abha, and Jizan, in addition to the Industrial City in Jizan, and King Khalid Air Base in Khamis Mushait.The importance of the Yemeni response and punishment operations derives from the importance and diversity of the targets, between economic and military. In this context, open sources indicate the importance of Aramco facilities in Abha and Najran and their connection to the backbone of the Saudi economy and water, electricity, and service security, and the tasks assigned to them to provide and supply petroleum derivatives to all vital sectors in the south of the Kingdom. This reflects the importance of these two facilities and makes them extremely important and sensitive economic targets. The matter extends to the Economic City and Aramco Jizan, as they are among the most important major strategic projects for basic and transformative industries, and because they include the Aramco oil refining complex, huge energy projects, a crude oil processing complex and the production of refined products, an integrated power plant operating with gasification technology, a commercial port, and a water desalination plant, in addition to areas designated for basic and transformative industries.Alongside the Aramco facilities, King Khalid Base in Khamis Mushait was also under the fire of the Yemeni response, as it is the launchpad for the recent aggression raids on Yemen, and due to the importance, that base enjoys as one of the largest and most important strategic military bases in the region. It represents the command center of the Southern Region of the Kingdom and possesses the latest military systems and advanced technologies in monitoring and attack.The Yemeni response operations carried several fiery messages, most notably:– The aggression will not pass without a shocking response that makes the Saudi regime pay a heavy price.– Expansion versus expansion, meaning that the Saudi raids on five governorates were met with a wide-scale operation that included Jizan, Najran, and Asir, and brought new targets into the targeting circle, namely the Aramco facility in Abha.– The recent Yemeni operations and those preceding them revealed the crisis of Saudi air defenses and that they are in a phase of unprecedented strategic exposure.– The Armed Forces’ talk of using dozens of missiles and drones in these operations suggests that they possess a strategic stockpile of weapons that qualifies them to confront mobilizations internally and Saudi escalation simultaneously.Developments on the Ground Undermine Riyadh’s Assumptions:The military operations are not isolated from a raging field reality and accelerating field movements inside Yemen, specifically on the western coast fronts and areas on the outskirts of Al-Jawf, Al-Bayda, and Marib governorates, in parallel with Riyadh pushing mobilizations from Saudi territory through the “Al-Wade’a crossing and Al-Abr district,” and also from the eastern side of Al-Jawf, supplying them with money, weapons, and huge military equipment, accompanied by a number of armed Saudi reconnaissance aircraft, with the aim of changing the balance of power and maps of control, and distracting Sana’a from its existing equations at sea, with the heavy repercussions this imposes on the economy of the Saudi regime.However, the field developments came completely contrary to Riyadh’s assumptions. The major military shipment that Riyadh moved from Saudi territory to Al-Abr district didn’t reach its destination but burned on its own soil as a result of a preemptive military operation carried out by the Yemeni Armed Forces, whose footage was published by the Yemeni Military Media in a dual military and intelligence achievement. The Yemeni air defense also managed to down 4 Saudi drones of various types within 24 hours, and the Armed Forces expelled the Saudi-loyal mobilizations on the outskirts of Al-Jawf and Al-Bayda governorates, after the missile force succeeded in targeting a field meeting including leaders of Saudi mobilizations on one of the fronts with extreme precision, reflecting Sana’a’s ability to target any fixed or moving point no matter how far the distance, and confirming the short distance between information monitoring, decision-making, and operation execution, along with completing field achievements on more than one front according to the drawn plan without noise.The fall of Riyadh’s bets, its mobilizations, its aircraft, and its plan, along with the continuation of its predicament in the Red Sea due to its ongoing siege and aggression, is perhaps what pushed it to return to intensifying the aggression with more than 120 airstrikes. On the one hand, and on the other hand, Riyadh wanted to tilt the balance of the field, but the reality of the field came contrary to the calculations and assumptions of the Saudi regime, as the latter fell into a new predicament imposed by the effects of the Yemeni operations on the economic and military nerve in the south of the Kingdom, amid its unprecedented strategic exposure due to the air defense crisis, along with the Saudi moral fall once again by committing crimes against civilians and civilian objects.Yemeni Strength and Saudi Strategic Exposure:Riyadh’s return to intensifying its aggressive raids, more than 120 raids, reflects a crisis-ridden attempt to remedy the setback and failure of its field mobilizations, and the continuation of its military and naval predicament resulting from the repercussions of its siege extending over Yemen for 12 years.These failed and crisis-ridden attempts to tilt the balance of power have also plunged the Saudi regime into a new and escalating predicament. The recent Yemeni operations brought in new economic and military targets and kept vital and economic facilities in the south of the Kingdom under direct, effective, and influential threat. They also revealed a real crisis and major challenges facing air defense systems in countering combined attacks with Yemeni ballistic missiles and drones. Added to this is that the Saudi regime has fallen again morally and politically due to its return to targeting civilian objects, correctional facilities, and their inmates.In conclusion, according to an objective reading of the general data on the ground and in the air, they all confirm that Sana’a possesses the reins of field and tactical initiative, its high readiness, and its ability, with God’s help, to consolidate its declared equations and impose new equations by land and sea, which is what the acting Prime Minister in Sana’a hinted at days ago.In contrast, developments prove that Riyadh’s bets on military options, intransigence in the peace and siege files, and exacerbating the internal situation have turned into a complex strategic predicament, imposing and continuing to impose heavy costs on the Saudi regime at a highly sensitive regional and international timing.Source: “Al-Mayadeen Net”

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